Stephen F. Austin
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
365  Shelby Pesek SR 20:42
431  Courtney High SO 20:48
652  Taylor Anderson SO 21:08
774  Katrina Fite JR 21:18
840  Rana Ryan SO 21:23
887  Brittany Innis SO 21:26
1,283  Samantha Ottman JR 21:54
2,300  Mary Luster JR 23:07
National Rank #112 of 339
South Central Region Rank #8 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 9.1%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 53.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Shelby Pesek Courtney High Taylor Anderson Katrina Fite Rana Ryan Brittany Innis Samantha Ottman Mary Luster
Texas A&M Invitational 09/26 1075 20:43 20:50 21:25 21:03 21:28 22:14 21:37 23:19
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 1051 20:38 20:50 21:11 21:22 21:09 21:12 21:51
Southland Conference Championships 10/30 1057 20:49 20:39 21:23 20:59 21:34 21:28 22:09 22:58
South Central Region Championships 11/13 1041 20:42 20:59 20:42 22:14 21:25 21:19 22:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 9.1% 30.9 873 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.6
Region Championship 100% 5.1 170 9.1 11.9 14.8 17.6 19.4 23.8 3.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Pesek 11.2% 175.8
Courtney High 9.6% 190.1
Taylor Anderson 9.1% 225.1
Katrina Fite 9.1% 236.8
Rana Ryan 9.1% 241.7
Brittany Innis 9.1% 243.8
Samantha Ottman 9.1% 250.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Pesek 20.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.4 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.2 5.6 5.1 5.3 5.6 4.8 4.4 4.5 4.6
Courtney High 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.4 2.9 2.8 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.5 5.2 4.5
Taylor Anderson 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.8
Katrina Fite 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.6
Rana Ryan 46.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Brittany Innis 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
Samantha Ottman 70.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 9.1% 100.0% 9.1 9.1 2
3 11.9% 11.9 3
4 14.8% 14.8 4
5 17.6% 17.6 5
6 19.4% 19.4 6
7 23.8% 23.8 7
8 3.3% 3.3 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1 90.9 9.1 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0